Why Are COVID Cases Rising in Some States as Vaccinations Increase?

More and more Americans are getting vaccinated against COVID-19 every day. However, in some states, there are certain weeks when there is an increasing, rather than decreasing number of cases. What is causing this to happen, even as vaccination numbers in those states increase?

This resource provides an overview on:

  • Various factors affecting the number of cases
  • What trends to expect in future months
  • What you can do to help slow the spread of new cases in your state

Where Cases Are Rising

On August 1st, 2021, the 7-day moving average for new COVID-19 cases rose above 80,000 for the first time since February. Nationwide, case numbers have been trending upwards since early July. 

Additionally, certain states have been reporting more COVID-19 cases than others. To see if COVID-19 cases are surging in your county and state, visit the CDC COVID-19 Integrated County View Tracker.

Are COVID-19 Vaccines Preventing New Cases?

Right now, 70.4% of adults across the nation have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. However, some states are still seeing a rise in cases. Some experts claim this rise in cases has to do with the Delta variant.

Here is what the CDC says about vaccines protecting individuals from COVID-19.

Potential Reasons for Some States Having Increasing Cases

Varying vaccination rates across the country, in addition to changing public health guidelines, may be a cause of increasing cases.

In addition, up until late April, young adults were generally among the last prioritized to receive COVID-19 vaccines. Experts have stated this about young people potentially driving the sporadic increases in cases and hospitalizations in some states.

Now, COVID-19 vaccines are widely accessible nationwide to all age groups except children under 12.

What to Expect This Summer and Fall

Hopefully, A Continuous Downward Trend

COVID-19 cases nationwide have been falling in correlation with the number of Americans who have received their COVID-19 vaccinations. Although the number of daily vaccines administered has been dropping recently, more than 277 million Americans have already received at least one dose of a vaccine. 

As the number of individuals who have been fully vaccinated continues to increase, data indicates that the number of new COVID-19 cases will continue to drop. The trend may not be completely linear in some cases—surges in some states may still occur—but a downward slope is likely to continue as we all work to end the pandemic.

Potential Uptick Due to COVID-19 Mutations

Recently, India experienced a third wave of COVID-19 infections.

Here is a resource for what some experts believe regarding this third wave being caused by the B.1.617 mutation of the virus. 

While India has a larger population than the U.S., there is a smaller percentage of people vaccinated in India in comparison to the United States population.

Here is a resource for what some experts state regarding COVID-19 vaccines providing protection against COVID-19 mutations, such as the B.1.617 mutation.

Potential Booster Shot Requirement

Executives at vaccine manufacturing companies have stated that booster shots may be required as early as September so that vaccines will continue to provide adequate immunity against COVID-19 over time.

“The data that I see coming, they are supporting the notion that likely there will be a need for a booster somewhere between eight and 12 months.” Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla said during a virtual event with Axios.

What You Can Do to Stay Safe

As always, there are certain things to keep in mind as you go about your life to keep you, your loved ones, and your community safe from COVID-19.

Curative Inc. and its subsidiary, Curative Management Services LLC, engage with medical entities that provide vaccination services.

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